Hotel
Investment Today talked to experts about the state of the refinance right now
and where they think interest rates will go in the coming months.
Editor’s
note: Based on our perception of the increased volume of hotel refinances over
the past few months, Hotel Investment Today asked several brokers and debt
players about the state of the market. This is part 4 of a recurring series
that features Joe O’Loughlin of HREC Investment Advisors and Jared Schlosser of
Peachtree Group. Click here for Part 1. Click here for Part 2. Click here for
Part 3.
NATIONAL
REPORT — Because of the economic turmoil over the past few months, bank lenders
remain cautious and take the long view, according to a hospitality lending
expert. They will even be “looking at new deals” for the right customers.
“I have
discussed my deals with three national and three regional banks,” said Joe
O’Loughlin, senior vice president for Greenwood Village, Colorado-based HREC
Investment Advisors, who was working on several deals when he spoke
with Hotel Investment Today in late April. He said four banks are interested
and continue to submit questions and request additional information. “The banks
are focused on strong, durable cash flow, renovation requirements and proven
brands.”
Jared
Schlosser, head of hotel originations and CPACE for Atlanta-based Peachtree
Group, a private credit lender and investor in the hospitality space, said private capital
is currently the most active in the debt market.
With
regional banks still hesitant, CMBS constrained by higher debt yield
requirements, and many traditional lenders sitting on the sidelines, he
said private lenders have stepped in to fill the void, particularly for
transitional and special-situation assets… "[For] 2025, we expect private
capital to continue gaining share, especially as more refinances come due and
the acquisition volume starts to thaw.”
Hotel
Investment Today asked O’Loughlin and Schlosser about the number of refinance
deals happening right now and why some financing fails.
Hotel
Investment Today (HIT): Have you completed more refinances in the first 3.5
months of 2025 than in the same period in 2024?
Jared
Schlosser: The
majority of our transactions in 2024, and nearly all so far in 2025, have been
refinances. The acquisition market has yet to recover, while the significant
wave of refinancing activity continues.
HIT: What
does the typical debt stack look like today on refinances?
Schlosser:
We generally go up
to 70% of the capital stack.
HIT: What
are the biggest reasons refi deals fail?
Schlosser:
There are many
inexperienced hotel lenders in the market right now that do not regularly lend
on hospitality assets. They’re signing up deals in a volatile environment and
then struggling to execute. We’ve been fielding a ton of calls on transactions
where the original refinance lender backed out and couldn’t close.
HIT: What
entities are most active in the debt market right now?
Joe
O’Loughlin: Debt
fund lenders remain engaged and have gotten more aggressive to compete with
balance sheet banks, which have become increasingly active in the market. The
debt fund lenders are closely watching their leveraged cost of capital and
adjusting pricing accordingly. The three debt fund lenders I spoke with view
the disruption as an opportunity and remain active in the market. Cash-flowing
deals have options at higher leverage points (i.e., 70% LTV).
The CMBS
market is experiencing disruption and spreads are widening with an average
quoted spread increase of 50 basis points… CMBS underwriters are encouraging
borrowers to complete the application process (30 days), take a longer view and
be in a position to lock if rates come down. CMBS pricing will continue to be
volatile and subject to upward and downward swings in the market.
HIT: What
is the main reason for most of the refis you are seeing?
Schlosser:
The primary reasons
are loan maturities, CMBS lenders increasing debt yield requirements from
10% to 12%, creating a financing gap and a stalled acquisition market.
HIT: Can
you offer an example of a typical (or atypical) deal with rate structure/terms
for a recently closed refi?
Schlosser:
We recently closed a
70% LTV refinance at SOFR + 5%.