While Choice has walked away from the Wyndham deal for now,
R.W. Baird wrote on Monday that its share exchange bid garnered more than expected and draws
a line in the sand for the future.
NATIONAL REPORT – Choice Hotels International has disclosed that ~11 million Wyndham
Hotels & Resort shares were tendered but not properly withdrawn as of the exchange
offer’s March 8 deadline, according to an R.W. Baird note. With Choice owning
another 1.45 million shares, the exchange offer in full garnered 13.6% of
Wyndham’s shares – perhaps a bit more than anticipated.
Now that Choice has withdrawn its bid to acquire Wyndham, R.W.
Baird analyst Michael Bellisario wrote on Monday afternoon that, for now, the
focus for both companies turns to stand-alone strategies, “but the amount of Wyndham
shares tendered is a good baseline for investors to remember, especially if the
political/regulatory backdrop changes in 2025.”
Bellisario noted that before the tender deadline, Baird
would have been surprised if >10% of Wyndham shares were tendered.
“We believe the ~14% figure is a good line in the sand for
the investment community to remember over the near term, especially if the
political/regulatory backdrop were to change in 2025 post-election later this
year,” Bellisario wrote. “For now, the focus for each company is on execution
and closing the stocks' valuation gaps (both absolutely and relatively) versus
peers and historical levels, which has captured investors’ focus since Choice
walked away from its M&A pursuit (based on our conversations and level of
inbound interest).”