Stop treating churn as background noise and start treating it as an
investment question that can be managed and improved.
Hotel investors already know
staffing is fragile. They see it in lagging RevPAR, negative guest reviews and
labor costs that never seem to match the model. High turnover is not just an
operational headache. It is a recurring leak that erodes returns, year after
year.
In many markets, annual churn for
frontline roles such as housekeeping and food services remains far above
historic norms. It’s a revolving door that comes with the cost of constantly
replacing high-turnover roles. The opportunity is to stop treating that churn
as background noise and start treating it as an investment question that can be
managed and improved.
How turnover shows up
on the P&L
Labor instability is a constant in
the day-to-day operations of hotel properties. Vacant rooms are unavailable due
to insufficient housekeeping coverage. Room service takes forever or may be
unavailable. Guests notice. The cycle goes round and round as hotel management
uses the same old protective tactics, such as overtime and agency workers. In
the end, it pushes labor as a percentage of revenue above target.
Over time, these patterns depress
NOI. Direct costs rise as recruiting and training cycles repeat. Indirect costs
follow as productivity lags and brand scores soften. When it is time to
refinance or sell, for example, those trends shape the story buyers and lenders
use to discount value.
The case for change is not so much
about sentiment as it is about protecting cash flow and exit multiples.
From one-off vacancies
to a workforce plan
Most hotels are still hiring in
reaction to vacancies as they come. Someone leaves, a hiring requisition opens,
and recruiting begins. The cycle repeats with every departure, which is treated
as an isolated emergency, giving operators little visibility into the true
scale of the problem.
A workforce plan starts with a
simple and straightforward set of numbers. What are the annual turnover rates
by role, not just the aggregate figure? How many days does it take to bring a
room attendant or line cook to full productivity? What is the fully loaded
replacement cost, including recruiting, onboarding, uniforms, training time,
and lost revenue?
Once those numbers are clear, churn
can be viewed in dollars rather than anecdotes. When you add up recruiting,
training, and lost productivity, it’s not unusual for high-churn positions to
generate six-figure turnover costs each year — money that could otherwise be
funding renovations, technology upgrades, or even additional staff. At that
point, retention work stops looking like soft spend and becomes a logical
investment in asset performance.
A practical example
from the field
Consider a select-service hotel in
a secondary market with around 120 rooms. Ownership realized housekeeping
turnover had climbed close to 90 percent a year. Rooms were regularly held back
on high-demand nights because there were not enough experienced room attendants
available. Cleanliness became a recurring theme in online reviews and RevPAR
underperformed.
Rather than accept that as the new
normal, the owner and management company agreed to test a narrow set of
changes. They quantified the full replacement cost of a single room attendant,
which landed just above $3,000 when all factors were considered. They then
introduced slightly higher starting pay, a modest attendance bonus and a simple
90-day training plan with three clear milestones.
Within a year, housekeeping
turnover dropped by about 20%. The savings in replacement cost, the increase in
sellable rooms and the improvement in guest scores more than covered the
investment. The workforce plan behaved like any other efficiency project with a
clear payback period.
What investors should
ask for
Investors do not need to run the
hiring process, but they should insist that turnover is treated as a managed
risk with a clear plan. Practical questions to build into asset reviews
include: how is the property measuring turnover and vacancy days by role? What
is the current cost per replacement and how has it trended? Which retention
initiatives are in place, what do they cost and how are they being evaluated?
Where do lawful immigration pathways, including programs such as the EB-3 visa,
fit into the long-term plan for hard-to-fill roles?
Answers will vary by market and
brand, yet the underlying principle is constant. Workforce stability is not a
side issue. It is an operating discipline with direct impact on NOI, debt
service coverage and exit value.
Owners who push their teams to
quantify and plan around turnover will be better positioned than those who
accept it as a permanent drag on performance. In a cycle where lenders and
buyers are scrutinizing every basis point of return, treating the workforce as
an asset to be managed rather than a cost to be endured may prove one of the
most durable advantages a hotel investment can offer.
John Dorer is CEO of
EB3.Work, a workforce solutions company.
The views and opinions expressed in this content do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Hotel Investment Today by Northstar or Northstar Travel Group and its affiliated companies.